2020 saw the sharpest traffic decline in aviation history with demand (revenue passenger kilometers or RPKs) falling by 65.9% compared to 2019, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA).
International passenger demand in 2020 was 75.6% below 2019 levels. Capacity, measured in available seat kilometers, declined 68.1%. Domestic demand in 2020 was down 48.8% compared to 2019. Capacity contracted by 35.7%.
In December last year, total traffic was 69.7% below the same month in 2019, a slight improvement from the 70.4% contraction in November. Capacity was down 56.7%. Bookings for future travel made in January 2021 were down 70% compared to a year-ago.
IATA’s baseline forecast for 2021 is for a 50.4% improvement on 2020 demand that would bring the industry to 50.6% of 2019 levels. If more severe travel restrictions in response to new variants persist, demand improvement could be limited to just 13% over 2020 levels, leaving the industry at 38% of 2019 levels.
“Last year was a catastrophe,” said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s Director General and CEO. “There is no other way to describe it. What recovery there was over the Northern hemisphere summer season stalled in autumn and the situation turned dramatically worse over the year-end holiday season, as more severe travel restrictions were imposed in the face of new outbreaks and new strains of COVID-19.”
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